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How Kostecki can clinch the Supercars title today

SATURDAY at the VAILO Adelaide 500 presents Brodie Kostecki with his first opportunity to become the Repco Supercars Champion for 2023.

The Erebus Motorsport driver holds a 131-point margin over Shane van Gisbergen, the only other driver still in contention for the title.

If Kostecki can extend his lead to an even 150 points by the end of the opening 250-kilometre race, then he will mathematically clinch the Supercars Championship for the first time in his career.

We’ve put all the Saturday scenarios into a table at the bottom of this story, because it’s not as simple as Kostecki needing to finish ahead to win the title.

The 19 points he needs to gain means he has to finish, at the very least, two places or more ahead of van Gisbergen in Saturday’s race.

Should Kostecki win Saturday’s race, then he can clinch the title if van Gisbergen finishes no better than third.

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The difference between the points awarded for finishing positions decreases through the field, meaning that the further down Kostecki finishes, then the more cars he needs to finish between he and van Gisbergen to win the title.

For instance, if Kostecki were to finish eighth, he’d need three cars between he and van Gisbergen in 12th to clinch the title.

However, if Kostecki were to finish a few spots lower in 11th, then he’d need six cars between he and van Gisbergen in 18th to secure the crown.

Naturally, the best case scenario for Erebus is for Kostecki and Will Brown to finish one-two; that would secure the Drivers’ Championship and ensure a maximum haul of points as it battles Triple Eight for the Teams’ Championship title.

Tiebreaks favour Kostecki… for now
Should the title contenders end up tied on points at the end of the weekend, the championship will be awarded to the driver with the most race wins.

Kostecki currently has six wins to van Gisbergen’s five, meaning the Kiwi could gain this tiebreak advantage if he wins both races.

Winning just one won’t do for SVG, either; if they’re level on wins, the next tiebreak is second placings, which Kostecki comfortably leads eight-to-four.

How Brodie Kostecki can clinch the 2023 Supercars title on Saturday at the Adelaide 500

If Kostecki finishes…He wins the title if van Gisbergen finishes…
1st3rd
2nd5th
3rd6th
4th7th
5th8th
6th10th
7th11th
8th12th
9th14th
10th16th
11th18th
12th19th
13th20th
14th21st
15th22nd
16th23rd
17th24th
18th25th
19thDNF
20thDNF
21stDNF
22ndDNF
23rdDNF
24thDNF
25thDNF
DNFKostecki can’t clinch title on Saturday
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